The world spins round, but Indiana stays firm.
INDIANA has been unusually stable in partisan preference over the past century. It was solidly Republican when the GOP's base was in the North, and it's solidly Republican now that the same party's base is in the South. It has voted Democratic only in three double-digit landslides (1932, 1936, 1964) and in 2008, when Obama won nationally by 7 points. That last case was something of a shocker, attributable to a strong get-out-the-vote effort by Obama (which really started in the spring, when he faced Hillary Clinton in a nailbiter primary) that resulted in a record turnout of 2.76 million. However, polls suggest a swing back to the GOP norm in 2012, when Obama is preoccupied trying to hold onto more favorable states.