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November 07, 2012

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Chris VanHaight

A nice analysis. I read the America article. If the Republicans work on their problems with Hispanic voters, and several prominent Conservatives have already noted that necessity, they have a chance to stay relevant. They are on the losing side with many of their social positions but I don't think that hurt Romney, who ran towards the middle on those after the nomination was sown up; many didn't believe he was really pro-life anyway. Those issues certainly did hurt the Republicans in a number of Senate races, however, even those who disagreed with them, like Linda McMahon and Scott Brown. They were tarred by association with their own party. So the Republican strategy should be to tone down the rhetoric on immigration and pass something positive like the DREAM Act, while continuing to focus on their core message of less (but not zero) government. That is still a popular message. Though they are unlikely to ever drop their opposition to abortion or gay marriage, those are not going to be major leadership talking points in the future. Of course, any presidential candidate is going to have to make it through the primary process, so they will have to be nominally and consistently pro-life and anti-gay marriage (Romney wasn't consistent and so had to overcompensate) without actually having done anything substantial to advance that agenda which could scare general election voters. Difficult but not impossible. There are already some Republicans who basically fit that profile, like Chris Christie (a bit wobbly on pro-life though). The Republican party is far from doomed.

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