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09/28/2007

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» America's 10 political regions redefined from Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
I'm a sucker for this sort of thing: Maybe we can look at income and voting within each of these regions.... [Read More]

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Jenny Balinsky

No doubt, Robert David Sullivan is one of the smartest, most thoughtful people in Boston - certainly so among the ink-stained wretches. Bravo! Can't wait to read more.

leviramsey

Was just looking for the old version to correlate it with contributor data from the Ron Paul campaign (some analysis of which occurs at http://www.patrickruffini.com/2007/10/15/inside-ron-paul-nation/ )... the map there is only broken down by state, but you might be able to get a county-by-county breakdown to correlate his contributions with the regions...

Expat

that is really excellent work. Suggestion: overlay by location where electronic versus paper ballots used and from there analyze incidents of statistically significant deviations in results.

Rockknocker

Has Sullivan comapared his map with Goreau's map published in "Nine Nations of North America" (published around 1978)?

I see remarkable similarities

Brian

A friend suggested Broward County (FL) be included with Northeast Corridor, just as Miami-Dade was put with El Norte rather than with South Coast. Was this ever considered? Outside the Everglades, the county's density is over 4,000, voting tends to be heavily Democratic, and most residents are relocated from the Northeast Corridor. Like Miami-Dade and parts of New Hampshire, perhaps some counties do not fit in with surrounding regions. I wonder if there are 10 equipopulous categories of counties not based on geography that have exhibited similar political trends over the last half century, or if counties with similar trends already tend to be located in relatively contiguous regions.

Ray N

I am skeptical about what primary results might say about the general election--but nonetheless I'm curious about the results. Is there a pattern in the regional primary results, and if so, does it tell us anything?

Eyeballing the map at the New York times http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2008/06/05/us/politics/20080605_PRIMARIES_GRAPHIC.html

I would guess:
Upper Coasts—Obama (except Boston area)
Frontier—Obama
Mega-Chicago—Obama (except MI which doesn’t count)
Southern Inland--Obama
South Coast—Obama (except Florida)
Northeast Corridor—Obama, but too crowded to tell, really.
Chippewa—split: Obama West of Chicago, Clinton East, discount MI.
Cumberland—Clinton (except Indianapolis, Columbus)
Comanche—Clinton (except Austin, Houston, Dallas/Ft.Worth)
El Norte—Clinton

Robert David Sullivan

That's about right. I'll be posting final numbers soon (and doing some adjusting to account for Michigan), but I've put a link to preliminary regional breakdowns in the UPDATE above.

John Smith

this makes completely no sense

geography information source

i never looked at like this before. thanks for explaining this.

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America is totally corrupted. Two political powers is not democracy.

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The current map, drawn for the 2008 political season, is above; click on it to get a bigger version, or click the thumbnail map at right to see how the region lines intersect with state boundaries.

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Blog is so good where i get lots of information about America's 10 political regions redefined nice job!!

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