The next time the Republicans nominate Herbert Hoover, they might be in trouble here.
NEBRASKA is about as reliable as you can get in presidential elections. The only suspense is whether the Republican will win handily or by a bone-crushing margin. From 2004 to 2008, the Republican margin fell from 258,486 to 119,660 while voter turnout stayed about the same. But that's still a comfortable cushion, and no one expects another swing toward the Democrats in 2012.
See all of the charts so far on Pinterest and an explanation of the project here.
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